Mardin 1969 Spor 2-1 1461 Trabzon FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mardin 1969 Spor EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY 1461 Trabzon FK EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.63
+55% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
POST-MATCH Mardin 1969 Spor vs 1461 Trabzon FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mardin 1969 Spor squeezed past 1461 Trabzon FK 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Mardin 1969 Spor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Mardin 1969 Spor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?

Mardin 1969 Spor 2-1 1461 Trabzon FK in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mardin 1969 Spor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mardin 1969 Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mardin 1969 Spor 39%, draw 30%, 1461 Trabzon FK 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mardin 1969 Spor), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mardin 1969 Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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