Ekvator Ginesi vs Sierra Leone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Ekvator Ginesi v Sierra Leone — Team-Based Signals
Ekvator Ginesi vs Sierra Leone Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Ekvator Ginesi 1-0 Sierra Leone — Actual Match Statistics
Ekvator Ginesi squeezed past Sierra Leone 1-0.
From a near-even 40% / 32% / 28% read, it was Ekvator Ginesi who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Ekvator Ginesi had 39% of the ball to Sierra Leone's 61%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.21 to 0.80.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sierra Leone led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ekvator Ginesi and 1.75 for Sierra Leone.
Ekvator Ginesi vs Sierra Leone Result & Final Score
Ekvator Ginesi 1 - 0 Sierra Leone in the Africa Cup of Nations on 28/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Ekvator Ginesi vs Sierra Leone Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Ekvator Ginesi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ekvator Ginesi 40%, draw 32%, Sierra Leone 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ekvator Ginesi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.