Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti vs Burkina Faso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti v Burkina Faso — Team-Based Signals
Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti vs Burkina Faso Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 0-1 Burkina Faso — Actual Match Statistics
Burkina Faso found just enough to beat Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Burkina Faso as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — no to both teams scoring (56%) came home.
Under the surface, Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti had 46% of the ball to Burkina Faso's 54%, shots finished 5-6, expected goals 0.20 to 1.04.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Burkina Faso led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti and 2.33 for Burkina Faso.
Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti vs Burkina Faso Result & Final Score
Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 0 - 1 Burkina Faso in the Africa Cup of Nations on 28/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti vs Burkina Faso Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Burkina Faso win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Orta Afrika Cumhuriyeti 8%, draw 16%, Burkina Faso 76%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burkina Faso), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.