Türkiye vs İtalya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Türkiye v İtalya — Team-Based Signals
Türkiye vs İtalya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Neither Türkiye nor İtalya earn a real lean from the model — expect a game decided by fine details.
The home form book backs Türkiye: 3 wins in their last 4 league games.
The rivalry ledger says that across their last 4 meetings in our records, İtalya lead the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.75 a game for Türkiye against 1.75 for İtalya.
Türkiye vs İtalya Kick-off Time
Türkiye play İtalya in the UEFA Nations League on 28/09/2026, kick-off 21:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Türkiye vs İtalya Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Türkiye vs İtalya is an İtalya win at about 38% probability, priced 2.39 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Türkiye 35%, draw 27%, İtalya 38%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.