Blackpool 2-2 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.8
Over
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.17
2-3
41%
1.78
4-5
19%
3.7
6+
10%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.17 — our 30% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.06
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.85
X/1
16%
4.83
X/2
9%
6.6
X/X
10%
4.41
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
16%
4.77
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackpool EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -10%
1.46/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.27
+0% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
241 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 72%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.9 Crosses 16.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackpool
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.54 xG 0.93
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
243 Passes 390
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
02.09.2023 Blackpool Blackpool 2-1 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
15.04.2023 Blackpool Blackpool 1-0 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İNCL
12.11.2022 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İNCL
26.01.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-5 HT 0-2 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
03.11.2020 Blackpool Blackpool 1-0 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackpool
2-2
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.47 xG 1.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
334 Passes 273
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Blackpool vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool and Wigan Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Blackpool at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Blackpool had 54% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 46%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.47 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Blackpool and 0.67 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Blackpool vs Wigan Athletic?

Blackpool 2-2 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 42%, draw 27%, Wigan Athletic 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Blackpool) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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