Wigan Athletic 1-0 Blackpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.67
Over
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.72
2-3
36%
1.77
4-5
19%
4.3
6+
8%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.72 — our 37% vs market 30.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.66
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
12%
6.06
X/2
15%
4.68
X/X
11%
4.2
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.26
2/X
11%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.1pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackpool EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
0.85/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.30
+0% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
265 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 68%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
19.8 Crosses 21.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wigan Athletic
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Blackpool
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.92 xG 1.74
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
390 Passes 208
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Blackpool Blackpool 2-1 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
15.04.2023 Blackpool Blackpool 1-0 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İNCL
12.11.2022 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İNCL
26.01.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-5 HT 0-2 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
03.11.2020 Blackpool Blackpool 1-0 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
13.02.2018 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-2 HT 0-2 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wigan Athletic
1-0
AWAY Blackpool
0.97 xG 0.51
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
391 Passes 418
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wigan Athletic vs Blackpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic squeezed past Blackpool 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Wigan Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wigan Athletic had 49% of the ball to Blackpool's 51%, shots finished 4-10, expected goals 0.97 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Wigan Athletic and 2.00 for Blackpool.

What was the final score of Wigan Athletic vs Blackpool?

Wigan Athletic 1-0 Blackpool in the England - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wigan Athletic vs Blackpool?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Wigan Athletic 36%, draw 28%, Blackpool 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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