Univ College Dublin 1-0 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 33% vs market 28.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.22
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
15%
13.65
X/1
26%
4.77
X/2
12%
6.16
X/X
6%
4.31
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
8%
4.6
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.61/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.39
+13% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
04.10.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 0-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
09.08.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
31.05.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-0 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
16.02.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-2 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
19.11.2021 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
1-0
AWAY Bray Wanderers
74% Ball Possession 26%
22 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin edged past Bray Wanderers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Univ College Dublin as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Univ College Dublin had 74% of the ball to Bray Wanderers's 26%, shots finished 22-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Univ College Dublin and 0.67 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Bray Wanderers?

Univ College Dublin 1-0 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 47%, draw 27%, Bray Wanderers 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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