Univ College Dublin 1-1 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2024

Univ College Dublin
1-1 HT 0-1
Bray Wanderers
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Univ College Dublin vs Bray Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.09
No
64%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
13%
5.39
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.27 — our 41% vs market 37.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
30%
+9.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.7pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Univ College Dublin v Bray Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
1.43/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.50
+10% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Univ College Dublin vs Bray Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.08.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
31.05.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-0 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
16.02.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-2 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
19.11.2021 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
03.09.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 4-3 HT 2-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
18.06.2021 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 4-0 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1

Univ College Dublin 1-1 Bray Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
1-1
AWAY Bray Wanderers
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin and Bray Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, Univ College Dublin had 63% of the ball to Bray Wanderers's 37%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Univ College Dublin and 1.33 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Bray Wanderers?

Univ College Dublin 1-1 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 40%, draw 25%, Bray Wanderers 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Univ College Dublin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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