Cork City 1-1 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
22%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
7.88
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.72 — our 29% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.3pp
27%
Draw
19%
+7.6pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cork City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.55/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.26
-19% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cork City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Treaty United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 1-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
24.05.2024 Cork City Cork City 1-1 HT 1-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
22.03.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 0-0 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
22.07.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 0-2 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRK
12.08.2022 Cork City Cork City 0-2 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
27.06.2022 Treaty United Treaty United 0-5 HT 0-4 Cork City Cork City İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cork City
1-1
AWAY Treaty United
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cork City vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City and Treaty United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cork City at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cork City had 63% of the ball to Treaty United's 37%, shots finished 21-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cork City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cork City and 0.67 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Cork City vs Treaty United?

Cork City 1-1 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cork City vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cork City 54%, draw 27%, Treaty United 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cork City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cork City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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