Cobh Ramblers 2-1 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 25% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobh Ramblers EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.31/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.22
-12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobh Ramblers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kerry
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2024 Kerry 0-2 HT 0-1 Cobh Ramblers Cobh Ramblers İR1
19.07.2024 Cobh Ramblers Cobh Ramblers 0-2 HT 0-2 Kerry İRK
31.05.2024 Cobh Ramblers Cobh Ramblers 1-0 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
15.03.2024 Kerry 1-1 HT 0-0 Cobh Ramblers Cobh Ramblers İR1
20.10.2023 Cobh Ramblers Cobh Ramblers 1-1 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
07.08.2023 Kerry 2-2 HT 1-0 Cobh Ramblers Cobh Ramblers İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobh Ramblers
2-1
AWAY Kerry
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cobh Ramblers vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobh Ramblers squeezed past Kerry 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Cobh Ramblers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cobh Ramblers had 47% of the ball to Kerry's 53%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cobh Ramblers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cobh Ramblers and 1.00 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Cobh Ramblers vs Kerry?

Cobh Ramblers 2-1 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobh Ramblers vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobh Ramblers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cobh Ramblers 40%, draw 27%, Kerry 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cobh Ramblers) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cobh Ramblers)
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