Racing Ferrol 1-1 Tenerife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 28 Oct 2024

Racing Ferrol
1-1 HT 1-1
Tenerife
📅28/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Racing Ferrol vs Tenerife Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.36
Over 2.5
39%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.9
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
19%
7.25
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.9
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.15
X/1
13%
4.84
X/2
10%
5.66
X/X
16%
3.11
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.86
2/X
6%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.0pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
70%
-9.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
30%
+9.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.1pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Ferrol v Tenerife — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -19%
1.14/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.04
+9% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.7 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0

Racing Ferrol vs Tenerife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tenerife
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.81 xG 1.04
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
356 Passes 335
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 9
29 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Tenerife Tenerife 2-0 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
17.12.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 3-1 HT 1-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
17.05.2008 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
16.12.2007 Tenerife Tenerife 2-1 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
27.05.2006 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 2-3 HT 0-2 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
20.12.2005 Tenerife Tenerife 1-2 HT 1-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2

Racing Ferrol 1-1 Tenerife — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
1-1
AWAY Tenerife
0.51 xG 0.79
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
326 Passes 172
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
11 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Tenerife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Ferrol and Tenerife shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Ferrol at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 62% of the ball to Tenerife's 38%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.51 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tenerife led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Racing Ferrol and 1.50 for Tenerife.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Tenerife?

Racing Ferrol 1-1 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Tenerife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 41%, draw 31%, Tenerife 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Racing Ferrol), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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