Tenerife 2-0 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
14%
6.25
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
16%
4.36
X/2
8%
6.56
X/X
16%
3.38
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
5.73
2/X
6%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.2pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.8pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.22/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.35
-21% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.6 Crosses 21.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.04 xG 1.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 8
310 Passes 369
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 3-1 HT 1-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
17.05.2008 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
16.12.2007 Tenerife Tenerife 2-1 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
27.05.2006 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 2-3 HT 0-2 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
20.12.2005 Tenerife Tenerife 1-2 HT 1-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
14.05.2005 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 2-2 HT 2-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife
2-0
AWAY Racing Ferrol
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
360 Passes 343
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Tenerife vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife beat Racing Ferrol 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tenerife as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tenerife had 52% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 48%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tenerife and 1.67 for Racing Ferrol.

What was the final score of Tenerife vs Racing Ferrol?

Tenerife 2-0 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tenerife 45%, draw 29%, Racing Ferrol 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tenerife), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tenerife) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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