Eibar 5-0 Amorebieta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 5 May 2024

Eibar
5-0 HT 2-0
Amorebieta
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Eibar vs Amorebieta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.42
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.47
6+ Goals
8%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 35% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.72
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.7
X/1
12%
3.5
X/2
6%
15.3
X/X
11%
5.66
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
9%
13.1
2/X
10%
20.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.6pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.0pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+7.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eibar v Amorebieta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +17%
1.59/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.43
+1% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
418 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
24.3 Crosses 18.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Eibar vs Amorebieta Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Amorebieta
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
2.36 xG 1.04
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 Passes 224
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-2 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
13.03.2022 Eibar Eibar 1-0 HT 1-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS2
25.09.2021 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-1 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
17.07.2019 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-3 HT 0-2 Eibar Eibar HAZ

Eibar 5-0 Amorebieta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
5-0
AWAY Amorebieta
3.65 xG 1.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 19
14 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
415 Passes 347
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Amorebieta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar ran out comfortable winners over Amorebieta 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Eibar as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Eibar had 52% of the ball to Amorebieta's 48%, shots finished 20-19, expected goals 3.65 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Eibar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Eibar and 0.75 for Amorebieta.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Amorebieta?

Eibar 5-0 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Amorebieta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Eibar 53%, draw 27%, Amorebieta 21%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eibar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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