Real Zaragoza vs Burgos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Zaragoza v Burgos — Team-Based Signals
Real Zaragoza vs Burgos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Real Zaragoza
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
2-2
HT 0-0
Real Zaragoza
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
2-0
HT 1-0
Burgos
İSPK
0-1
HT 0-0
Real Zaragoza
İS2
Real Zaragoza 1-3 Burgos — Actual Match Statistics
Burgos got the better of Real Zaragoza 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Real Zaragoza at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Real Zaragoza had 55% of the ball to Burgos's 45%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 1.93 to 0.49 — the balance of chances actually favoured Real Zaragoza.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Zaragoza had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Zaragoza and 0.50 for Burgos.
What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Burgos?
Real Zaragoza 1-3 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Burgos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 41%, draw 28%, Burgos 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.