Eldense 1-2 Leganes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 5 May 2024

Eldense
1-2 HT 1-0
Leganes
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Eldense vs Leganes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.41
Over 2.5
37%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
18%
6.71
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.9
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.8
X/1
11%
5.82
X/2
17%
4.86
X/X
15%
3.18
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.8
2/X
5%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.3pp
30%
Draw
33%
-2.8pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
67%
-4.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
33%
+4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eldense v Leganes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Leganes EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.07/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.84
+11% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.6 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Eldense vs Leganes Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eldense
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Leganes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.19 xG 1.50
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
157 Passes 427
61% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Leganes Leganes 1-1 HT 1-1 Eldense Eldense İS2

Eldense 1-2 Leganes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eldense
1-2
AWAY Leganes
0.42 xG 1.66
25% Ball Possession 75%
3 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 8
107 Passes 461
57% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 30
5 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Leganes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes squeezed past Eldense 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Leganes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eldense had 25% of the ball to Leganes's 75%, shots finished 3-19, expected goals 0.42 to 1.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Leganes's control.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Leganes?

Eldense 1-2 Leganes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Leganes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Eldense 34%, draw 30%, Leganes 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leganes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leganes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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