ABD (K) 3-1 İzlanda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Oct 2024

ABD (K)
3-1 HT 0-1
İzlanda (K)
📅28/10/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

ABD (K) vs İzlanda (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.4
No
52%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
9.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
78%
-11.4pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.3pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
38%
+10.2pp
52%
BTTS No
62%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ABD (K) v İzlanda (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY İzlanda (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.14/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.33
-5% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -26%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
501 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
20.4 Crosses 5.1
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

ABD (K) vs İzlanda (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY İzlanda (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 0.54
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
592 Passes 199
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
35 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 5
The Meetings
25.10.2024 ABD (K) ABD (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 İzlanda (K) İzlanda (K) HAZ

ABD (K) 3-1 İzlanda (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD (K)
3-1
AWAY İzlanda (K)
2.48 xG 0.18
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
499 Passes 229
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 4
15 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ABD (K) vs İzlanda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD (K) beat İzlanda (K) 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ABD (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, ABD (K) had 65% of the ball to İzlanda (K)'s 35%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 2.48 to 0.18.

What was the final score of ABD (K) vs İzlanda (K)?

ABD (K) 3-1 İzlanda (K) in the Friendlies on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD (K) vs İzlanda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split ABD (K) 66%, draw 21%, İzlanda (K) 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ABD (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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