Kuzey Makedonya (K) 0-1 Moldova (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 25% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.0pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.7pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey Makedonya (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Moldova (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey Makedonya (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Moldova (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.06.2024 Moldova (K) Moldova (K) 2-4 HT 1-3 Kuzey Makedonya (K) Kuzey Makedonya (K) KAVŞE
31.05.2024 Kuzey Makedonya (K) Kuzey Makedonya (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Moldova (K) Moldova (K) KAVŞE
POST-MATCH Kuzey Makedonya (K) vs Moldova (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moldova (K) nicked a narrow win over Kuzey Makedonya (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kuzey Makedonya (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kuzey Makedonya (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kuzey Makedonya (K) and 1.50 for Moldova (K).

What was the final score of Kuzey Makedonya (K) vs Moldova (K)?

Kuzey Makedonya (K) 0-1 Moldova (K) in the Friendlies on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey Makedonya (K) vs Moldova (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kuzey Makedonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kuzey Makedonya (K) 50%, draw 29%, Moldova (K) 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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