Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca v Tepatitlán de Morelos — Team-Based Signals
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
0-3
HT 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
1-1
HT 1-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
1-2
HT 0-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
2-3
HT 1-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
Tepatitlán de Morelos saw off Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tepatitlán de Morelos as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 1.83 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.
What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-2 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 29%, draw 28%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.