Kwara United 1-1 Enugu Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.6
No
60%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.5pp
60%
BTTS No
66%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kwara United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Enugu Rangers EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.37/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.24
-8% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kwara United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Enugu Rangers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
22.10.2023 Kwara United Kwara United 1-1 HT 0-1 Enugu Rangers Enugu Rangers NIJ
04.07.2021 Kwara United Kwara United 2-0 HT 0-0 Enugu Rangers Enugu Rangers NIJ
21.02.2021 Enugu Rangers Enugu Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kwara United
1-1
AWAY Enugu Rangers
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Kwara United vs Enugu Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kwara United and Enugu Rangers shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Kwara United at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Kwara United had 56% of the ball to Enugu Rangers's 44%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kwara United and 0.67 for Enugu Rangers.

What was the final score of Kwara United vs Enugu Rangers?

Kwara United 1-1 Enugu Rangers in the Nigeria NPFL on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kwara United vs Enugu Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kwara United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kwara United 52%, draw 24%, Enugu Rangers 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kwara United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kwara United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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