Lobi Stars 2-1 Bayelsa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.3pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.39/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.19/1.81
-16% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / -21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
452 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobi Stars
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bayelsa United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.03.2024 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 1-1 HT 0-0 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lobi Stars
2-1
AWAY Bayelsa United
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lobi Stars vs Bayelsa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobi Stars squeezed past Bayelsa United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lobi Stars as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lobi Stars had 55% of the ball to Bayelsa United's 45%, shots finished 17-6.

What was the final score of Lobi Stars vs Bayelsa United?

Lobi Stars 2-1 Bayelsa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobi Stars vs Bayelsa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lobi Stars 55%, draw 26%, Bayelsa United 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lobi Stars) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lobi Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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