Lobi Stars 1-1 Bayelsa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 24 Mar 2024

Lobi Stars
1-1 HT 0-0
Bayelsa United
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2023/2024

Lobi Stars vs Bayelsa United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.33
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.81
No
67%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-12.6pp
28%
Draw
19%
+8.5pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.3pp
33%
BTTS Yes
32%
+1.0pp
67%
BTTS No
68%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lobi Stars v Bayelsa United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 14%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
368 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Lobi Stars vs Bayelsa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobi Stars and Bayelsa United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lobi Stars at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (67%) missed.

What was the final score of Lobi Stars vs Bayelsa United?

Lobi Stars 1-1 Bayelsa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobi Stars vs Bayelsa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Lobi Stars 58%, draw 28%, Bayelsa United 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lobi Stars), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lobi Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
24 Mar 2024
17:30 Katsina United vs Abia Warriors Analysis →
18:00 Kwara United vs Enyimba Analysis →
18:00 Plateau United vs Akwa United Analysis →
18:00 Heartland vs Enugu Rangers Analysis →
19:30 Remo Stars vs Bendel Insurance Analysis →