Katsina United 2-1 Abia Warriors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 24 Mar 2024

Katsina United
2-1 HT 0-1
Abia Warriors
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2023/2024

Katsina United vs Abia Warriors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
27%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+5.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
27%
Away Win
36%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Katsina United v Abia Warriors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katsina United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Abia Warriors EU Bookmakers 39%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.43/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+20% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Katsina United vs Abia Warriors Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katsina United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Abia Warriors
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
The Meetings
19.03.2022 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 2-2 HT 2-2 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
21.03.2021 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 3-1 HT 2-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
POST-MATCH Katsina United vs Abia Warriors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katsina United nicked a narrow win over Abia Warriors 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Katsina United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Abia Warriors led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Katsina United and 2.50 for Abia Warriors.

What was the final score of Katsina United vs Abia Warriors?

Katsina United 2-1 Abia Warriors in the Nigeria NPFL on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katsina United vs Abia Warriors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katsina United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Katsina United 44%, draw 29%, Abia Warriors 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katsina United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katsina United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
24 Mar 2024
18:00 Kwara United vs Enyimba Analysis →
18:00 Lobi Stars vs Bayelsa United Analysis →
18:00 Plateau United vs Akwa United Analysis →
18:00 Heartland vs Enugu Rangers Analysis →
19:30 Remo Stars vs Bendel Insurance Analysis →