Kwara United 2-1 Enyimba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
27%
2.7
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.22
Over 2.5
36%
4.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.95
No
59%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+3.4pp
27%
Draw
33%
-6.3pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
78%
-15.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
22%
+15.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
30%
+10.9pp
59%
BTTS No
70%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kwara United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Enyimba EU Bookmakers 26%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.22/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.43
-8% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kwara United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Enyimba
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
07.07.2021 Enyimba Enyimba 1-0 HT 1-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
20.01.2021 Kwara United Kwara United 1-0 HT 1-0 Enyimba Enyimba NIJ
POST-MATCH Kwara United vs Enyimba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kwara United nicked a narrow win over Enyimba 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kwara United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kwara United and 0.50 for Enyimba.

What was the final score of Kwara United vs Enyimba?

Kwara United 2-1 Enyimba in the Nigeria NPFL on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kwara United vs Enyimba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kwara United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kwara United 48%, draw 27%, Enyimba 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kwara United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kwara United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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