Heartland 1-2 Enugu Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
12%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.7pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.2pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heartland EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Enugu Rangers EU Bookmakers 55%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
247 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heartland
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Enugu Rangers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.01.2022 Heartland Heartland 0-3 HT 0-1 Enugu Rangers Enugu Rangers NIJ
18.07.2021 Heartland Heartland 2-1 HT 2-1 Enugu Rangers Enugu Rangers NIJ
28.02.2021 Enugu Rangers Enugu Rangers 2-0 HT 2-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
POST-MATCH Heartland vs Enugu Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Enugu Rangers squeezed past Heartland 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Enugu Rangers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Enugu Rangers led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Heartland and 2.00 for Enugu Rangers.

What was the final score of Heartland vs Enugu Rangers?

Heartland 1-2 Enugu Rangers in the Nigeria NPFL on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heartland vs Enugu Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Enugu Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Heartland 22%, draw 32%, Enugu Rangers 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Enugu Rangers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Enugu Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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