Universitario 3-1 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.22
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.4
No
52%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
78%
-15.1pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.0pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
38%
+10.7pp
52%
BTTS No
62%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 9%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.76/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.70
+3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 75%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
23.7 Crosses 12.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cienciano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.37 xG 0.52
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
251 Passes 314
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.05.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
23.06.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 1-1 HT 0-1 Universitario Universitario PER
25.03.2023 Universitario Universitario 3-0 HT 2-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
10.03.2023 Universitario Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano CON CSA
07.08.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
13.03.2022 Universitario Universitario 1-1 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
3-1
AWAY Cienciano
1.60 xG 0.24
52% Ball Possession 48%
23 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
303 Passes 260
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 7
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Universitario vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario beat Cienciano 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Universitario had 52% of the ball to Cienciano's 48%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 1.60 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Universitario and 0.50 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of Universitario vs Cienciano?

Universitario 3-1 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Universitario 62%, draw 23%, Cienciano 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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