Alianza Atletico 1-0 Cultural San — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
62%
-11.4pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.8pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.5pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural San EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.46/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.49
-23% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 75%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
20.1 Crosses 14.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cultural San
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.33 xG 0.65
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
114 Passes 264
58% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Cultural San Cultural San 2-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
1-0
AWAY Cultural San
0.40 xG 0.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
218 Passes 226
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Atletico squeezed past Cultural San 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza Atletico as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 50% of the ball to Cultural San's 50%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.40 to 0.59.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Cultural San?

Alianza Atletico 1-0 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Cultural San?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 50%, draw 28%, Cultural San 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Atletico), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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