Mafra vs Uniao De Leiria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mafra v Uniao De Leiria — Team-Based Signals
Mafra vs Uniao De Leiria Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Uniao De Leiria
POR2
Mafra 2-1 Uniao De Leiria — Actual Match Statistics
Mafra nicked a narrow win over Uniao De Leiria 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Uniao De Leiria at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mafra had 43% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 57%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.77 to 1.03.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mafra had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Mafra and 1.00 for Uniao De Leiria.
What was the final score of Mafra vs Uniao De Leiria?
Mafra 2-1 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mafra vs Uniao De Leiria?
Before kick-off our model rated an Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mafra 29%, draw 27%, Uniao De Leiria 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.