Botosani 1-2 Universitatea Cluj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.31
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botosani EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Cluj EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.96/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.48
-14% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +46%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
221 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
14.0 Crosses 23.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botosani
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Universitatea Cluj
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2024 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 3-0 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
03.03.2024 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 1-0 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
06.12.2023 Botosani Botosani 0-4 HT 0-2 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROMK
30.10.2023 Botosani Botosani 0-3 HT 0-2 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
06.05.2023 Botosani Botosani 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj ROM
25.02.2023 Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 2-0 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botosani
1-2
AWAY Universitatea Cluj
0.29 xG 1.57
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 10
165 Passes 499
65% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botosani vs Universitatea Cluj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Cluj edged past Botosani 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Universitatea Cluj as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botosani had 30% of the ball to Universitatea Cluj's 70%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.29 to 1.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Universitatea Cluj's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Cluj led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Botosani and 2.17 for Universitatea Cluj.

What was the final score of Botosani vs Universitatea Cluj?

Botosani 1-2 Universitatea Cluj in the Romania - 1st Division on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botosani vs Universitatea Cluj?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitatea Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Botosani 31%, draw 27%, Universitatea Cluj 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Cluj) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Cluj) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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ROM More Romania - 1st Division
28 Oct 2024
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