SSC Farul 3-2 Universitatea Craiova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 28% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 46%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.28/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.65
+42% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -19%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
17.0 Crosses 13.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Farul
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.16 xG 2.13
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.05.2024 SSC Farul SSC Farul 3-3 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
12.04.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-2 HT 1-2 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
21.01.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-2 HT 1-2 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
05.12.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 4-0 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROMK
27.08.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-0 HT 2-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
13.05.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-1 HT 0-1 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Farul
3-2
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
1.13 xG 2.53
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 28
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 11
139 Passes 427
64% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 46
4 Crosses 39
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SSC Farul vs Universitatea Craiova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Farul nicked a narrow win over Universitatea Craiova 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 25% / 40% — and on the day SSC Farul made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, SSC Farul had 29% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 71%, shots finished 8-28, expected goals 1.13 to 2.53 — the balance of chances actually favoured Universitatea Craiova.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SSC Farul had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SSC Farul and 1.67 for Universitatea Craiova.

What was the final score of SSC Farul vs Universitatea Craiova?

SSC Farul 3-2 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania - 1st Division on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Farul vs Universitatea Craiova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split SSC Farul 34%, draw 25%, Universitatea Craiova 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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