SSC Farul 3-3 Universitatea Craiova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 13 May 2024

📅13/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.03
2-3 Goals
35%
1.96
4-5 Goals
31%
2.75
6+ Goals
14%
7.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.0pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 43%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.37/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.20
+23% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Farul
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.16 xG 2.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-2 HT 1-2 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
21.01.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-2 HT 1-2 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
05.12.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 4-0 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROMK
27.08.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-0 HT 2-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
13.05.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-1 HT 0-1 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
08.04.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 3-2 HT 1-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Farul
3-3
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
48% Ball Possession 52%
23 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SSC Farul vs Universitatea Craiova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Farul and Universitatea Craiova couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, SSC Farul had 48% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 52%, shots finished 23-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SSC Farul had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SSC Farul and 1.50 for Universitatea Craiova.

What was the final score of SSC Farul vs Universitatea Craiova?

SSC Farul 3-3 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania - 1st Division on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Farul vs Universitatea Craiova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split SSC Farul 38%, draw 22%, Universitatea Craiova 40%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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