Krylya Sovetov 1-2 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 28 Oct 2024

Krylya Sovetov
1-2 HT 0-1
Krasnodar
📅28/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Krylya Sovetov vs Krasnodar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 31% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.39
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
11%
8.44
X/2
15%
4.18
X/X
10%
4.9
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.39
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
48%
Away Win
51%
-3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.3pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Krylya Sovetov v Krasnodar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 56%
-12% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +19%
1.07/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.50
-41% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
16.5 Crosses 12.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Krylya Sovetov vs Krasnodar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Krasnodar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 1.35
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
309 Passes 429
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.04.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-0 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
05.11.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
07.05.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
19.04.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-2 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUSK
03.10.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-0 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
17.04.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-0 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS

Krylya Sovetov 1-2 Krasnodar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
1-2
AWAY Krasnodar
0.54 xG 1.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
302 Passes 364
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar edged past Krylya Sovetov 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 47% of the ball to Krasnodar's 53%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.54 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 1.00 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Krasnodar?

Krylya Sovetov 1-2 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 28%, draw 24%, Krasnodar 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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