Krylya Sovetov 0-0 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 28% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.48
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
12%
6.29
X/2
12%
4.84
X/X
10%
4.72
2/1
10%
32.5
2/2
24%
3.1
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 46%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.39/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.23
+22% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 79%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
15.7 Crosses 13.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Krasnodar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 1.24
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
284 Passes 437
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
07.05.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
19.04.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-2 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUSK
03.10.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-0 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
17.04.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-0 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
30.10.2021 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-1 HT 0-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
0-0
AWAY Krasnodar
0.97 xG 1.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
366 Passes 400
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov and Krasnodar played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Krasnodar at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 47% of the ball to Krasnodar's 53%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.97 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 1.00 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Krasnodar?

Krylya Sovetov 0-0 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 33%, draw 26%, Krasnodar 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Krasnodar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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