FC Sochi 0-0 Fakel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.88
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.8
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.2
X/1
10%
4.07
X/2
12%
7.09
X/X
13%
4.06
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
12%
6.01
2/X
7%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-8.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Fakel EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.38/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.13
+17% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
18.5 Crosses 14.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sochi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fakel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.87 xG 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
283 Passes 175
68% Pass Accuracy 61%
19 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2024 Fakel Fakel 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi HAZ
01.11.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-0 HT 2-0 Fakel Fakel RUK
01.10.2023 Fakel Fakel 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
26.07.2023 Fakel Fakel 1-3 HT 1-2 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUK
18.03.2023 Fakel Fakel 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
18.09.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-1 HT 1-1 Fakel Fakel RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sochi
0-0
AWAY Fakel
1.43 xG 0.33
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
444 Passes 181
82% Pass Accuracy 62%
48 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Sochi vs Fakel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sochi and Fakel played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Sochi had 65% of the ball to Fakel's 35%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 1.43 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Sochi and 1.17 for Fakel.

What was the final score of FC Sochi vs Fakel?

FC Sochi 0-0 Fakel in the Russia - Premier League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs Fakel?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 39%, draw 29%, Fakel 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Sochi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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