Rubin Kazan 1-1 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.43
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.3
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
10%
4.44
X/2
10%
6.1
X/X
14%
3.74
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
17%
5.11
2/X
9%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
0.84/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.24
-34% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 75%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
16.5 Crosses 18.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ural
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 1.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
248 Passes 422
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
06.11.2023 Ural Ural 0-1 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
03.10.2023 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
29.08.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-1 HT 2-1 Ural Ural RUK
15.05.2022 Ural Ural 3-0 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
13.09.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 4-0 HT 2-0 Ural Ural RUS
18.04.2021 Ural Ural 0-1 HT 0-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
1-1
AWAY Ural
0.86 xG 1.02
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
238 Passes 386
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
8 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan and Ural couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 41% of the ball to Ural's 59%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.86 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rubin Kazan had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rubin Kazan and 1.00 for Ural.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs Ural?

Rubin Kazan 1-1 Ural in the Russia - Premier League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rubin Kazan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 37%, draw 30%, Ural 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rubin Kazan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rubin Kazan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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