Al Wehda 1-2 Al-Qadsiah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
53%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.12
2-3 Goals
47%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
15.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
39%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+9.5pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.6pp
53%
Away Win
57%
-3.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.28 xG 0.84
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
276 Passes 296
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2021 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 2-2 HT 0-2 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
17.10.2020 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-1 HT 0-1 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
11.05.2019 Al Wehda Al Wehda 4-0 HT 2-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
06.10.2018 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
04.05.2017 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 3-1 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
03.12.2015 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-0 HT 1-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
1-2
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
1.30 xG 1.55
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
429 Passes 407
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 28
7 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al-Qadsiah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah edged past Al Wehda 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Wehda had 51% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 49%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.30 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wehda had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Wehda and 1.00 for Al-Qadsiah.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al-Qadsiah?

Al Wehda 1-2 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al-Qadsiah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 29%, draw 19%, Al-Qadsiah 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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