Al Riyadh 0-2 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒17:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.76
No
40%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.75
6+ Goals
15%
15.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.75 — our 26% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
26%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+7.3pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riyadh
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.23 xG 1.50
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
239 Passes 504
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.04.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
05.10.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
0-2
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
0.63 xG 2.22
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
273 Passes 429
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 29
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh beat Al Riyadh 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Shabab Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 41% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 59%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.63 to 2.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Riyadh and 1.50 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Al Riyadh 0-2 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 24%, draw 29%, Al Shabab Riyadh 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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