Academico Viseu U23 1-0 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.5pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 33%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.00
+13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +51%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu U23
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Rio Ave U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 0-0 Academico Viseu U23 Academico Viseu U23 UŞGA
26.04.2024 Academico Viseu U23 Academico Viseu U23 5-2 HT 4-0 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
20.02.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Academico Viseu U23 Academico Viseu U23 PORU23
19.09.2023 Academico Viseu U23 Academico Viseu U23 3-1 HT 1-0 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu U23
1-0
AWAY Rio Ave U23
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academico Viseu U23 squeezed past Rio Ave U23 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Academico Viseu U23 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academico Viseu U23 had 37% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 63%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Academico Viseu U23 had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Academico Viseu U23 and 0.75 for Rio Ave U23.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Academico Viseu U23 1-0 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academico Viseu U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu U23 45%, draw 28%, Rio Ave U23 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academico Viseu U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academico Viseu U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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UŞGA More Portugal - U23 National Championship
28 Oct 2024
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