Sporting Braga U23 2-2 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
39%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.55
No
53%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
39%
Away Win
29%
+10.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.9pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-47% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +47%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga U23
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.08.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 0-1 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 UŞGA
09.12.2023 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 2-3 HT 1-1 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
26.09.2023 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga U23
2-2
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 and Gil Vicente U23 shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 21% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sporting Braga U23 had 52% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 48%, shots finished 15-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga U23 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Braga U23 and 0.67 for Gil Vicente U23.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Sporting Braga U23 2-2 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga U23 40%, draw 21%, Gil Vicente U23 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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