Hednesford Town 1-2 Stockton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-12.2pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hednesford Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +25%
1.85/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.21
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hednesford Town
1-2
AWAY Stockton Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hednesford Town vs Stockton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockton Town nicked a narrow win over Hednesford Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Stockton Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hednesford Town had 51% of the ball to Stockton Town's 49%, shots finished 8-11.

What was the final score of Hednesford Town vs Stockton Town?

Hednesford Town 1-2 Stockton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hednesford Town vs Stockton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hednesford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hednesford Town 40%, draw 23%, Stockton Town 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hednesford Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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