Warrington Town 2-1 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.7pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
1.25/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.54
-13% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warrington Town
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Ashton United
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.07.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 0-1 HT 0-0 Warrington Town Warrington Town HAZ
08.04.2023 Warrington Town Warrington Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
27.08.2022 Ashton United Ashton United 2-1 HT 1-0 Warrington Town Warrington Town İNGNLP
19.03.2022 Warrington Town Warrington Town 1-3 HT 0-3 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
02.10.2021 Ashton United Ashton United 0-1 HT 0-0 Warrington Town Warrington Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warrington Town
2-1
AWAY Ashton United
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Warrington Town vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrington Town nicked a narrow win over Ashton United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Warrington Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Warrington Town had 54% of the ball to Ashton United's 46%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Warrington Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Warrington Town and 1.00 for Ashton United.

What was the final score of Warrington Town vs Ashton United?

Warrington Town 2-1 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrington Town vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warrington Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Warrington Town 40%, draw 28%, Ashton United 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warrington Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Warrington Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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