Ashton United 0-1 Warrington Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
5.19
2-3 Goals
32%
1.97
4-5 Goals
26%
2.72
6+ Goals
13%
6.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.8pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashton United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 50%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
1.00/3.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-27% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
390 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashton United
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Warrington Town
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2023 Warrington Town Warrington Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
27.08.2022 Ashton United Ashton United 2-1 HT 1-0 Warrington Town Warrington Town İNGNLP
19.03.2022 Warrington Town Warrington Town 1-3 HT 0-3 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
02.10.2021 Ashton United Ashton United 0-1 HT 0-0 Warrington Town Warrington Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashton United
0-1
AWAY Warrington Town
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Ashton United vs Warrington Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrington Town squeezed past Ashton United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Warrington Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ashton United had 66% of the ball to Warrington Town's 34%, shots finished 18-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Ashton United and 1.50 for Warrington Town.

What was the final score of Ashton United vs Warrington Town?

Ashton United 0-1 Warrington Town in the Friendlies on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Warrington Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Warrington Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 33%, draw 25%, Warrington Town 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warrington Town) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Warrington Town) ✗ BTTS Yes
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