Greuther Fürth 1-1 Freiburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jul 2024

Greuther Fürth
1-1 HT 1-1
Freiburg
📅26/07/2024 · 🕒15:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Greuther Fürth vs Freiburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
40%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.83
2-3 Goals
36%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.46
1/2
8%
20.85
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
11%
8.21
X/2
16%
4.48
X/X
15%
5.87
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.38
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.5pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.5pp
41%
Away Win
52%
-11.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.2pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greuther Fürth v Freiburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg EU Bookmakers 56%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.15/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.00
-88% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +26%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Greuther Fürth vs Freiburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Freiburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.88 xG 1.35
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
314 Passes 317
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
19.03.2022 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 0-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
30.10.2021 Freiburg Freiburg 3-1 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL1
04.04.2016 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-3 HT 1-2 Freiburg Freiburg AL2
18.10.2015 Freiburg Freiburg 5-2 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
11.05.2013 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-2 HT 1-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
08.12.2012 Freiburg Freiburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL1
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Freiburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth and Freiburg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Freiburg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Greuther Fürth and 2.33 for Freiburg.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Freiburg?

Greuther Fürth 1-1 Freiburg in the Friendlies on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Freiburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 29%, draw 31%, Freiburg 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Freiburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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