Millwall 2-1 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
32%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
20%
+12.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.1pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millwall EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 23%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-17% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millwall
2-1
AWAY Real Murcia
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Millwall vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall nicked a narrow win over Real Murcia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Millwall as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Millwall had 56% of the ball to Real Murcia's 44%, shots finished 6-3.

What was the final score of Millwall vs Real Murcia?

Millwall 2-1 Real Murcia in the Friendlies on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millwall vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millwall win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Millwall 44%, draw 24%, Real Murcia 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millwall) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Millwall) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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