NAC Breda 0-1 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 24%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
1.94/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +72%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NAC Breda
0-1
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
55% Ball Possession 45%
3 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH NAC Breda vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen edged past NAC Breda 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was NAC Breda at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, NAC Breda had 55% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 45%, shots finished 3-7.

What was the final score of NAC Breda vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

NAC Breda 0-1 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Friendlies on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NAC Breda vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated a NAC Breda win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 48%, draw 23%, Lierse Kempenzonen 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (NAC Breda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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