Bray Wanderers 3-2 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
47%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 28% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.89
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
8%
5.83
X/2
15%
5.65
X/X
10%
4.62
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
25%
3.7
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-7.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
47%
Away Win
36%
+11.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.78/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.21
+42% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
285 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-1 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
29.08.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 3-2 HT 2-2 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
23.06.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-2 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
21.04.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
31.03.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-1 HT 0-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
28.10.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-0 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bray Wanderers
3-2
AWAY Univ College Dublin
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers edged past Univ College Dublin 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Univ College Dublin at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bray Wanderers had 41% of the ball to Univ College Dublin's 59%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bray Wanderers and 1.17 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Univ College Dublin?

Bray Wanderers 3-2 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 30%, draw 23%, Univ College Dublin 47%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Univ College Dublin)
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