Santa Cruz 0-2 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 28 Nov 2024

📅28/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.1pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.93/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.88
+9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
14.2 Crosses 17.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Cruz
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.41 xG 1.23
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
202 Passes 210
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
10 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.08.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-0 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
02.12.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
04.06.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
28.11.2021 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-1 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
31.07.2021 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz
0-2
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.09 xG 0.81
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 Passes 157
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
19 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero saw off Santa Cruz 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Independiente Petrolero found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Santa Cruz had 60% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 40%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.09 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Santa Cruz and 1.20 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs Independiente Petrolero?

Santa Cruz 0-2 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 28/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Cruz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 38%, draw 32%, Independiente Petrolero 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santa Cruz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Cruz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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