Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-1 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 28 Nov 2024

📅28/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.48
Over 2.5
30%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.5pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.8pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.7pp
70%
Under 2.5
64%
+6.1pp
30%
Over 2.5
36%
-6.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.5pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 31%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.02/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/0.58
-10% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +98%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 0
06.07.2024 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 0-2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1-1
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Ethiopian Insurance couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Ethiopia Nigd Bank had 54% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 46%, shots finished 5-5.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-1 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 28/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Nigd Bank 36%, draw 33%, Ethiopian Insurance 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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