Kerala Blasters 0-1 FC Goa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 28 Nov 2024

📅28/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
3.13
6+ Goals
13%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Goa EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.22/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.36
+11% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
17.3 Crosses 18.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerala Blasters
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Goa
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.60 xG 1.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
262 Passes 351
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 4-2 HT 0-2 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
03.12.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 1-0 HT 1-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
22.01.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 3-1 HT 2-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
13.11.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
06.03.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 4-4 HT 0-2 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
02.01.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-2 HT 2-2 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerala Blasters
0-1
AWAY FC Goa
1.04 xG 0.87
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
399 Passes 270
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kerala Blasters vs FC Goa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa squeezed past Kerala Blasters 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; FC Goa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kerala Blasters had 57% of the ball to FC Goa's 43%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.04 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kerala Blasters and 2.17 for FC Goa.

What was the final score of Kerala Blasters vs FC Goa?

Kerala Blasters 0-1 FC Goa in the India - Super League on 28/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerala Blasters vs FC Goa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerala Blasters win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kerala Blasters 39%, draw 25%, FC Goa 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kerala Blasters) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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