Express vs Mbarara City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Express v Mbarara City — Team-Based Signals
Express vs Mbarara City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Express
UGA
2-0
HT 1-0
Mbarara City
UGA
Express 3-1 Mbarara City — Actual Match Statistics
Express saw off Mbarara City 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Express as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Express had 46% of the ball to Mbarara City's 54%, shots finished 9-6.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Express had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Express and 0.00 for Mbarara City.
What was the final score of Express vs Mbarara City?
Express 3-1 Mbarara City in the Uganda - Premier League on 28/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Express vs Mbarara City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Express win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Express 47%, draw 22%, Mbarara City 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Express) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.