Kiboga Young 1-0 Bright Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 28 Nov 2024

📅28/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.5pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kiboga Young EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bright Stars EU Bookmakers 34%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.88
-100% / -79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kiboga Young
1-0
AWAY Bright Stars
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kiboga Young vs Bright Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kiboga Young edged past Bright Stars 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kiboga Young as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Kiboga Young had 53% of the ball to Bright Stars's 47%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Kiboga Young vs Bright Stars?

Kiboga Young 1-0 Bright Stars in the Uganda - Premier League on 28/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kiboga Young vs Bright Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kiboga Young win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kiboga Young 42%, draw 31%, Bright Stars 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kiboga Young), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kiboga Young) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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UGA More Uganda - Premier League
28 Nov 2024
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